Western States 100 cutoff calculator
Western States enforces cutoffs at every aid station across 161 km. The cumulative effect of staying ahead of each one is what separates a sub-30-hour buckle from a DNF. This calculator projects your ETA at every checkpoint.
This calculator spreads your target time evenly. To see when real finishers actually reached each aid station, open Western States 100 by the numbers.
What the GPX doesn't tell you
Heat. The American River canyons routinely hit 35°C or more. That is not in the GPX, but it will slow you down 10 to 20% in the heat of the day.
Asymmetric profile: 5,500 m of climb, 7,000 m of descent. Quad damage from runnable descents is the late-race killer.
20 aid stations before the finish, each with an enforced cutoff. Miss any one of them and you are pulled from the race.
WSER cutoffs are generous in the first half but tighten significantly past Foresthill (km 100). The most-missed cutoffs historically are at Devil's Thumb (km 77), Michigan Bluff (km 90), and Foresthill itself, all in the heat of the day. Each cutoff is the deadline for leaving the aid station, not for arriving.
The sections that decide the race
Last Chance (km 70) to Foresthill (km 100). The canyons section combines the steepest climbs, highest temperatures, and the cumulative fatigue of the first marathon-and-a-half. Most non-finishers DNF here.
Advice for Western States 100
Aim to leave Robinson Flat (km 49) with at least 2 hours of buffer, because the canyons will eat that margin.
Foresthill (km 100) is the practical “do I finish” checkpoint. With 2+ hours of buffer here, you have a real shot at 30 hours.
After Rucky Chucky (km 125), the climbing eases but quad damage from earlier descents starts dictating pace. Build buffer before the river crossing, not after.
More from RunPact
- Western States 100 by the numbers: real finish times, median arrivals and how tight each cutoff is, from thousands of finisher splits.
- Ultra race time predictor: upload any GPX and get a course-aware finish-time prediction.
- Custom cutoff calculator: for any race not in our featured list.
- Training plans: phase-based plans built around your race and current fitness.